Been on the road for the last week and enjoying the entertainment on this thread, largely via Chang's bait and all the bites he is getting. Like watching a fishing show where every cast = a strike followed by a dramatic fight to the catch and release.
My opinion is that Chang is a FGO on staff and is enjoying his ability to wind up the AF's "one percent" population. (I know the math isn't right, but for the purposes of this post, just go with it). So he gets his cheap shots in, gets so much attention that he self-actualizes and needs a tissue to clean up with, and, not coincidentally, takes a few ideas back to his overlords that this thread generates. As well as serving as a non-attributable arena for some trial balloons - "Hey, how will the plebes react if we stop-loss? Will they go tell Congress or can we get away with it?" "15-19 year ADCS for UPT? Would they preach against it to newbs?"
If Big Blue goes stop-loss under the current geo-political situation, i.e., no bigger war or major U.S.-based terror attack like 9/11, the screaming to Congress and the multiple class-action lawsuits that AF will have to answer will approach the ridiculous.
Congressman X: "So, CSAF, you have the fewest aircraft in your inventory since pre-WWII, yet you are hundreds of pilots short to fly them. Why? How come the Army and Navy don't have this problem (assuming this is true, I don't know for a fact)? And since we, Congress, haven't declared that we are in a national emergency/voted for such, why are invoking the law we gave you to keep pilots involuntarily? Didn't you just force out a whole bunch recently?
Lawsuit A: In that the President hasn't invoked a national emergency and that a stop-loss of any duration or magnitude constitutes a penalty for only a certain group, the AF has caused severe injury and hardship due to its own negligence and stupidity. Or some such legal argument...
In A1's terrific solution - make the problem go away until someone else has to deal with it - have they thought through the 2nd and 3rd order effects of stop-loss and indentured servitude-like ADSCs?
- As noted, how effective at doing anything other than flying would a stop-loss pilot be? During Madeline Albright's war, I.e., Kosovo, I can assure you my GAS factor was low. Something for the mission and I still ran at the bell. Want some other queep? Sorry, not my problem. And in order to just avoid the dishonorable discharge hoop, the work I will perform will be so sub-standard that you will spend so much time having to re-do it, you can't imagine the ass pain you are about to endure.
- So you give a naïve kid who wants to fly a 15-19 year ADSC which he signs because, well, he's naïve. Is he now guaranteed to make at least O-4? Or will you have to ask Congress to modify the laws regarding promotions?
- What happens when naïve kid gets cynical and doesn't get promoted? Currently, separation law trumps ADSC regs.
- What about the budget effects of this sudden pool of guaranteed O-4s? Only so many FGOs can be on the books. Cut the promotions for non-pilots? Ok, what happens when you run out of MX guys, Cyber guys, etc, etc, etc. Stick a pilot in that billet? How effective will that be? And wouldn't that COA be an own goal since you took your pilot-slave out of the air arena - flying/staff/other directly related jobs - so now you lost both the non-rated expertise in that area plus a pilot out of flying?
- This could be just the ticket to get the Warrant Officer/Enlisted pilot track underway. Cuts officer money, avoids the FGO limit. Win/win for the AIr Staff.