The problem is not about production, it is CLEARLY a retention issue.
If the AF produced 2,000 pilots next year, they would still be massively foooked. Look at the timeline, after a year of UPT (maybe less with the insane ideas floating around), Survival School, IFF, RTU...best case you get a crap ton of green barely qualified folks in 22-24 months from start date. How long to get them MR, seasoned...or would you just start throwing them into the fight like Kamikaze pilots in WWII.
Retention is the issue up and down the timeline, you need seasoned folks to stay around at warfighters, instructors, and LEADERS.