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He knew he was getting fired the moment he sent that letter. Which, IMO, makes him the kind of person you'd want to be in charge.

This is just a rolling ETIC anyway you slice it.

My uneducated opinion? The next event based trigger probably would be X ventilators on hand, plans to surge ICU and in-patient care (alternate locations and staffing), and rebuild our stock of PPE for medical workers. At least rebuilding the stock of PPE should allow at least outpatient surgeries/procedures to resume. However, the supply chains seem to have taken a big hit, with a lot of production happening overseas, and producing countries holding on to their production to help at home first before exporting. I've got family in the medical field. My brother (anesthesiologist), said his hospital has already gone from changing their respirator for every patient (prior to the whole COVID-19 problem) to "here's your one respirator, keep it in your locker when you go home, make it last as long as you can." And that's across the board at his hospital, not just for COVID-19 patients, and there's no approved procedure to sterilize/disinfect the respirator (since it's supposed to be a one time use item). It'd be like the AF saying "OBOGS is good, there's only a small risk of physiological incidents, so press on..." except grounding the fleet is off the table, there can be no safety stand down, and in fact, ops tempo is expected to surge for the foreseeable future, crew rest is waived, so suck it up. A nurse catching COVID-19 means they're out for 14-30 days, and each day they are out means 6-10 patients that day can't be supported (or 2-3 ICU patients). I'd imagine the number is roughly the same for doctors. So keeping them healthy (through triage, deferring care that can be deferred, and proper PPE) keeps them in the fight, not just for COVID, but for any procedure that can't be deferred. Right now, we are just delaying the big fight until we can mass our forces appropriately. However, just like in war, it doesn't really matter if we win battles now if we don't have the logistical support to sustain the fight and win the war. So hopefully we are using this time now to appropriately mass our resources and not get caught with our pants down when the fighting starts in earnest.

Geico is way cheaper. USAA is run by cucks now.

So April 30 is the new date.. I feel like we are setting ourselves up for failure and/or disappointment. I learned once upon a time that event/phased based operations are more effective than time based operations.. I’m relatively certain there are more than a few DLOs to that effect.. so.. What is the event based trigger (expected to occur on April 30th) Trump/Fauci/whoever is looking for so we can ease restrictions? And.. what do those eased restrictions/guidelines look like? I assume they have a plan, right? 😉

Huggy, It was this guy. Granted, I don’t recall every detail of the discussion, but the implication was that AF life would get tougher (due to attrition) and then eventually better for those who stuck around because of increased opportunities.

These next 2-4 weeks will be interesting to watch (I hope I'm not saying that again next month). Some projections have the US topping out somewhere towards the end of April, but that assumes full social distancing. I'm obviously an old man now because I want to kick all of the spring breakers in the ass who are ignoring the social distancing requirements.

Lyle was on my no-fly list prior to the incident. Having said that we were glad he was able to overcome all obstacles and return. Great credit to the CEO Dasburg.

I think the idea is to flatten the curve to buy time, which if used properly to build up testing and acute care capacity, allows you to move back into the “containment” phase where you can quickly identify new cases/clusters, and isolate before they cause exponential growth. Gradual reintroduction of social freedoms could be applied along with improved testing and treatment, to essentially play “whack-a-mole” as cases pop up until a vaccine is developed. The article (written by a mathematician, not an epidemiologist or virologist) only makes a passing reference to those changes, noting that they should be specified in modeling (which I would think they are if you look into the 1s and 0s of the inputs to the models). The main thesis (deferring spikes if social distancing is the only factor in the model) is valid but doesn’t acknowledge broader strategies.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/03/common-good-constitutionalism/609037/ A buddy and I have been talking about how the bad situation we are in is a breeding ground for the rise of bad ideas. Here is a Harvard professor literally suggesting fascism. Not directly COVID-19 related, but still need to be wary.

https://lmgtfy.com/?q=fedex+pilot+careers

If you have a seniority number and can go back to a gig you like, I'd go back. Keep a nice steady paycheck coming in and get to watch this all pan out from the sidelines. If you don't actually get furloughed, then you continue to accrue longevity, so you'd come back to 3rd(ish) year pay. Aside from a possibility of a 179 or 365, I can't see too many downsides.

You have a seniority number? Go back.

Although they were under no obligation to offer them, they negotiated to reinstate SILs (55 hour no-fly line) and then said they were going to offer them for May and June. Then the day they were supposed to be posted for bid, they said nevermind, that doesn't work for us right now. Basically, they don't want to upset the other employee groups (non-union) since 13k of them took unpaid leaves...then they offered us over 4,000 personal (unpaid) leaves of absence. So they'll pay me 72 hours to sit reserve and likely not fly since we have 60-90 guys on reserve every day and basically no trips to fly (WB international category) rather than paying me 55 hours. Of course they could be trying to negotiate a lowered line value. In the grand scheme of things it's not a big deal, but it just destroyed what trust the pilot group had left in management. Lots of moderate folks just turned hardline.