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Lawman

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Everything posted by Lawman

  1. I as gonna say my dream scenario is immediate floor vote on putting McCarthy back in as speaker. Force the Dems to go on record with what’s more important, immediate house normalcy or an alliance with Gaetz. As soon as that is done, bring the Ukraine bill to the floor with provisions to funding Israel. We get some form of bipartisan normalcy back. The Dems get to show Gaetz he isn’t in charge of crap. And if we are really lucky the likes of Omar or Tlaib resign in protest or at least say something they can’t take back on record. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  2. Way to double down on crazy bitch. I guess at least she’s wearing her shit loyalty out in the open then. I’m sure party powers that be will be quick to denounce her…. Don’t worry we can all wait. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  3. Anybody that thinks they did this without the Quds force providing support and coordination is kidding themselves. Also our resident Palestinian congresswoman has been silent on the death toll or abduction of Israeli women and children. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  4. I’m sure they were thinking about all the medical aid and food they could fly in across the “blockade” when they got these… Oh wait no… just another example of the governing body in Gaza choosing to buy weapons instead of help the people they claim to be protecting. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  5. Again. Taking a precision guided munition or putting 105 on it to knock down a building with a S-head who is literally incapable of effecting anything outaide AK range is not unleashing the original implication of “taking the gloves off” or “pushing shit in” to use your parlance. That’s playing whack-a-mole from a position of impunity. Tabqa damn or when it got Mosul/Raqqa was considered the most recent “Wild West” for US Forces. Compare us taking a week to stop and examine whether or not we killed civilians that ISIS herded into the building and deliberately baited air strike to or just how long we made the Iraqis wait before we finally struck the hospital in Old Mosul. Now look at Mariupol or Bakhmut and compare. And that’s still a misunderstanding of what is being asked for, total unbridled war. Total war as being opined about is to acknowledge that every portion of a societal infrastructure and the people participating in it are part of the apparatus to make war. See the Russians targeting the grain supply or the power grid on Ukraine. Or us bombing the ball bearings, steal production, fuel refining capacity, and most of all the people that build the weapons in WWII. Even in 91 or 03 that wasn’t the kind of targeting we adopted. We were attacking their immediate capacity to engage tactically or inflict casualties on our immediate forces. Mentioned earlier the “highway of death” was probably a great example of actually adopting the annihilation of your enemies war-making capacity, and what did we do once cameras were on it, we turned it off. And if you want to make this a dick measuring contest and compare deployments and “what you’ve been part of” I can very readily play. I doubt you’re going to find my perspective on the matter limited. Even still, being amazed at the killing power effectiveness of our weaponry in some individual battle is not a measure for seeing the US war making apparatus truly unchained to fight a war to a decisive definable victory. We’re talking about adopting a line of thinking inline with Lemay’s era and carrying that out. Tell me that guy could even exist in the current environment much less be types in charge when the bell goes off. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  6. Anybody else catch all the announcer booth call outs across games for terrible officiating? Some absolutely bizarre calls made by refs this weekend. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  7. When in any current conflict have you seen us go to the “kill them this is war” mentality compared relatively to other countries attitudes. We get into a nasty fight in Wardak or TK and we have a gunship dropping 40mm for demonstration against a mountain side, or we clear hourly rocket runs by the Apaches against some obscure block of yellow terrain amongst an area of interest. If we were for example the Russians we’d have been throwing that ordnance in the 200 series because we didn’t care. There’s an article a few posts up explaining that the RussianUkraine thing is carrying not just a war for territory but a war for extermination flavor. When did that concept ever really play in our mindset. I was over Raqqa when we literally didn’t give a crap and even that was reserved compared to watching what the Russians were doing with TOS-1 in Aleppo. Look at Mariupol and the doctrinal concept of “annihilation fires.” We stopped doing anything like that in August of 1945. Could we get there, maybe. But as I said it would take a reality of pain inflicted in our own home territory that we would just as likely have people sue for peace and we definitely wouldn’t feel that compulsion to act if it was just “people over there.” Lose Rose Barracks in Germany and you’ll get a lot of rhetoric, but what action is a real question. That’s part of the reason some of us are so insistent that Ukraine needs to win or at the very least neutralize to parity/exhaustion this war with Russia. Eliminate the opportunity to dither in the face of aggression when actually met with it because it doesn’t get to us. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  8. Go read any news sites YouTube of this. It’s already filled with “Israeli occupiers” and other such apologetic tripe. I’m sure as soon as the Israelis start doing any effective damage the regulars in the UN apparatus will be up in arms and forget all about or apologetically ignore this brazen act of terrorism. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  9. You’re confusing our track record of expressing combat power at distance to our own will, not at fighting a war. Go read a history book focused on the first series of months/year of any of those “take the gloves off” wars. I’d suggest Dr Shawn Faulkners lecture on WWI 1917, or when it comes out Jon Parshall’s book on 1942. WWI was us buying a place at the peace table through sacrifice. WWII was literally us letting the other team score for the entirety of the first half with little to show for it while we got our feet under us and learned the vital lessons that led to all those 1944 victories. If you don’t think we will do a lot of that in the next one I’ve got news for you. We have a hard enough time getting commanders to actively digest the lessons learned in Ukraine without playing the “well we’ve always done it this way,” card. Does anybody honestly believe we could in an era of social media and instant access survive something akin to 1942. One battle of Savo Island or those first years of B17 raids worth of casualties. Do you think likewise we could just carpet bomb a city to attack a port or bomb to rubble a co-use airport. What do you think our societal demand for leadership heads or stopping the war would be? Would it be more distracting to a political class seeking only to remain in leadership than say actively prosecuting a war? We haven’t had a no holds barred full gloves off war because we haven’t had an existential crises for our own survival to accompany it. Even with one by 1945 Americans were largely over the war, and Japan was seeking that for a negotiated peace to drag it to 46. It’s one of the reasons the Navy wasn’t allowed to seek their preferred option of blockade and starve. Even in modern coin it’s bred into us to maximize the CDE discussion to applying force. Anybody that wants to see that contrast go watch a Ranger Raid and then compare it to a raid run by the SAS or Grom. One group is executing call outs, the other is “knocking” with a Gustav. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  10. We aren’t good at war, everybody else has just been gawd awfully terrible at it. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  11. Or…. And this is just the ground force centric guy on a website full of Air Power people… Taking territory offensively in a conventional war is far more difficult and casualty producing than our two successful one-sided shit kickings in Iraq made it seem… You guys realize we barely made it to Baghdad in 03? Not due to casualties or the Iraqi Army, due to logistical strain and lines of supply vs speed of advance. In some ways the massive sand storm saved us because it allowed some downtime to perform ground maintenance. Most of our tracked vehicles were well beyond the time before overhaul on them when they got there. It’s part of the reason we took a few days doing thunder runs to the airport. If Saddam had pulled himself back to Mosul we physically wouldn’t have had the ass to get up there. Ukraine is the size of Texas, and unlike Texas it’s full of mine fields, water crossings, and a half dozen drones per square mile tied to a massive network of fires assets looking for a vulnerable ground force on the March with engineer support to get through said mine fields. Oh also Russia just pulled the bulk of its modern Naval forces in Sevastopol back into Russian home waters because they can’t defend/preserve that combat power. No big deal right? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  12. We had a cyber war guy brief a theory paper on “non kinetic disruptive attrition.” Essentially, you don’t even have to kill us to hurt our combat capability. Anybody above the rank of major just have those warehouses full of hackers and bots start running up credit cards in their name, issue police reports or swat people, start emailing their wife the “it’s his baby and I want my money” or nudes from some girl in whatever city your last TDY was… that type stuff… basically everything you see when the hacker wrecks the life of somebody in a movie. Do that simultaneously to all the leadership out there, then while that’s going on do something akin to Russia when they went into Crimea. With the amount of information the government already handed them through our own stupidity plus the amount of social media we already put out on ourselves, it wouldn’t be hard to severely hobble the command channels with issues that result in delayed action. For those of us that remember the Ashley Madison hack and the shit show that ensued when peoples wives started googling names… now do it with the benefit of AI. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  13. A large portion of the AvFID mission set was handed off to USASOAC and then kind of passed down to the SFAB to own. The problem isn’t that there is no concern at the Strategy level to build partner capability. SFAB exists entirely because of an understanding of that (and not just to teach Afghans how to do jumping jacks). The problem is there is already not enough personnel within Army Aviation to pull for taskings, or to assess and maintain in the SFAB/SOC side. We’ve got a Major who just went over to SFAB to start doing this, only reason was because he was allowed to is he is medically hard down. His flying days are done. Same is true for the senior warrant population. If you can even find them at the rate we are all scrambling for the exits or dropping papers. Compo 1 (the big regular Army) doesn’t care because from its view this is a staff as available when the active CABs are all fighting to get 65-70% manning. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  14. You don’t have to go back that far to make your point either. Things got more and a bit excitable in Syria from about 2014 and on. Trading rounds, knocking down aircraft, and actively killing Russians has happened so recently you can YouTube it. Somehow with all of that we are all still here. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  15. No… If Auburn had won out against Georgia it would be the catalyst to “see the SEC is so deep with talent and that’s why they all deserve to be ranked!” And then people would forget how badly across the conference they’ve done this year and we’d be back to putting a 2 loss Bama or LSU in front of a 1 or 0 loss Penn State/USC/etc Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  16. That’s a pretty significant misunderstanding of what 4 of those forms actually do, but ok… 3. (personnel action) is used administratively for literally any change in your records (senior wings, change of unit within guidon, school application). Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  17. I think you guys are overthinking the real reasons Ol’Billy wants to do this… Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  18. A whole lot of rotary wing guys…. Understandably, that’s where we live. We’d probably feel the same way about being inverted. I wonder how many advanced FMS autopilots we could have bought with 100 million dollars…. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  19. https://www.france24.com/en/video/20230717-ukrainians-kidnapped-to-russia-france-24-meets-children-brought-back-home Forget borders. I’m having a hard time imagining something more motivating than stealing your children. Wild Animal instinct would demand that’s not ok, much less the idea of a rules based order of National Sovereignty. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  20. We were going off post in Not ERBIL without force pro. Contrast that with being there only a few years earlier when we were issuing grenades to people who would normally never get them and briefing the “if they (PMF) come across the Amber zone…” COA. I know some of the group probably never used route Irish before, but we used to not be able to move personnel in between the Embassy/Airport/Taji over certain ranks without using an AMR. We also couldn’t fly down what used to be Tampa due to PR concerns.. Saying we “surrendered” Iraq to Iranian influence or anything else like it is just way off base of the current political struggle for dominance in that country. It’s not 2008-2013 anymore. It may have surprised a lot of people, but Sadr is not the puppet a lot of people were expecting him to be. https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/iraq-iran-shiites/ But back to the original point you guys keep ignoring. Why were the Ukrainians so willing to defend themselves against the hopeless cause of the Russian Juggernaut? Do you think they were convinced of an IOU? That’s surprising considering how little in heavy weapons and equipment they started this war with. Or maybe just maybe they had some reason to evaluate the risk to action/inaction vs outcomes and invested themselves in the one that is the best bad option. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  21. Tell me you haven’t been to Iraq in the last 5 years without just saying it. Sadr not immediately kicking us out of that country and bulldozing our ramps in Erbil is proof the Iranians have far less influence than they wanted over there. Again, do you think given historic examples of what happens with Russification the Ukrainians aren’t fully aware and willingly fighting this war? They didn’t start this fight with HIMARS and Leo IIs. They begged for more so they could stand up and fight a country that enjoyed a safe mobilization area 80 km from their capital and was supposed to have bulldozed them in a week. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  22. Go read some history on Soviet era Russification efforts in places like the Baltic states or Ukraine. It might be pretty informative as to why a nation is willing to risk so much for a dire outcome vs take what they know in eventuality will be a pretty dire outcome. Also read up on what a mismatch Finland was and apply that to the current situation. The reason Finland was willing to still accept violence as the outcome (and they didn’t see it going so lopsided at the time) was because they could look next door at what happened to their neighbors who submitted to the big bully’s advances. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  23. They “had their say” at the ballot box. We are a representative democracy specifically to avoid the sways of the populist mob which does act in ignorance. Does John Q Public have a firm understanding of why you need X number of aircraft on a flight line or ships in dock to make effective combat power? How about assault weapon bans? You can pick any number of loud polarizing topics that general public ignorance wants in a given space of immediate time. A good chunk of the public has isolationist desires to walk away from NATO. Hypothetically: Should we let the mob slow down or loudly call to stop the process of mobilizing and responding to direct aggression to an Article 5 member? You know just a recheck by show of hands on policy they were happy to live with when it was convenient for the last 70 years? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  24. Yes because we have no historical examples of proxy wars with an opposing “great power” that led to not-a-nuclear-exchange… Jesus Christ we are giving them munitions to fight a war they aren’t the aggressors in. When we start flying strike sorties out of Spang to blunt Russian logistics or putting regular Army troops on the ground in Kiev maybe you have substantiated examples and a point to make. Until then vague warnings about WWIII is just grand standing to make a point in an argument. Given the anecdotal evidence it seems that is entirely politically aligned and not actually based on some form of strategic analysis of the facts. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  25. Im not sure if I could be less impressed with the weight of fire for its guns…. M3P was a bandaid fix because the M2s were literally falling apart and the GAU wasn’t really giving the range necessary to justify its ammo consumption. Yeah it’s a .50 just like the M2, but it barely out ranges a 7.62 and it was putting some level of throw weight on an aircraft that was never intended to be armed in the first place, so something better than nothing. It’s a defensive suppression system masquerading as an offensive piece of firepower and it would have been a bigger gun if the overgrown news helicopter it was designed to support could have held it. Don’t limit yourselves. You are going into a fight with less throw weight than a WWII/Korea era aircraft, in a profile that forces you to live in a wez you lack the redundant Survivability to successfully negotiate when compared to those older aircraft. Sexy < Stand-off/survivable. I’m curious how many majors were gonna lose flying these profiles before we relearn something we knew with the A-1 Skyraider. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
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