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Lawman

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Everything posted by Lawman

  1. B/1st Bn 82nd CAB we’re the Apaches performing “route clearance ops” for the Airlift at Kabul. They evacuated to Kuwait…. Then stayed to wait a few weeks for the rest of their Bn Task Force to finish RIP and depart Iraq….. Yeah… wtf right. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  2. Korea is the Disney Family PG version of a tour in Asia compared to the stuff going on in my dad’s or my Grandfathers military. Spending 6 months in the Philippines on staff and seeing Clark and Subic in person a lot of old jokes made waaaay more sense. My dad used to say that you could always tell the guys that went to Guam/Japan/etc vs Philippines. The ones that did the PI islands came back “broken” to normal life elsewhere. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  3. Just another Tuesday night on the boardwalk at KAF… watching another O6 eat ice cream with an E4…. Nothing to worry about…. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  4. F-15Y… Write it down. I’m calling it as gonna happen. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  5. Either this is about “everybody being under penalty of the same legal system” or it isn’t. Hunter Biden isn’t “political retribution” should some next admin (because it sure as hell won’t be this one) chose to act on demonstrated public crime. He cannot legally own a firearm… yet he bought one… that’s a felony. We don’t need a 3 year special council investigation to establish that any more than we can’t prove him in possession of narcotics when he’s literally been photographed with a crack pipe. So felony firearms violations…it’s a Federal crime violated so yes it is in fact evidence that the executive branch does not intent to apply justice evenly and is carrying out action entirely based off political alignments. You can’t claim some sort of legal justice seeking narrative going after a political opponent and then suddenly act like anybody connected to the opposite side being prosecuted for demonstrated crimes is “retribution.” Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  6. You don’t get to start paying attention but just with the other political side. If attorney generals wanted to actually make an argument hey we’re attempting to impartially apply judicial action where it was appropriate but neglected due to political connection, they would start with their own party. Then they’d have a leg to stand on that this isn’t politically motivated. We aren’t seeing that, so don’t try and sell it for them like as soon as we get done with this we will move on to the massive publicly visible nonsense they are ignoring in the meantime. Just for example You have the son of the president dead to rights on everything from drug possession to federal firearms violations. But we won’t see that action by the justice department likely ever. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  7. I dated a capitol police officer back in the day. Coming from my background compared to hers their department is in a word, “weird.” They are staffed and equipped almost like park police vs the more civil authority model used in metropolitan police. But then they had riot kit that was prestige and sub machine guns. It wasn’t heavily manned though because here are something like 5 different law enforcement agencies in the same location intermingled in responsibility but no centralized command and control. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  8. A whole lot of us in Eucom at the time we’re waiting while one of our poorest foreign policy leaders dithered and conducted poll’ing. The media narrative of “little green men” paralyzed us resolve combined with an IO campaign that it was a populist revolt by locals, because we couldn’t prove to the average person what the smart people in the room knew, that those were Russian troops from VDV and Spetz units. By the time our administration got off its ass to “do something” the Russians had all the key terrain and the Ukrainian military of them was not the military of today (a decade of FID/training saw to that). Also geographically Crimea is a much smaller operation than trying to take a region the size of Massachusetts (vs a country of 40+ million people that is the size of Texas). If we had responded militarily to it we would have been executing a joint forcible entry scenario to restore Crimea. And we’d have largely been doing it alone considering how Merkle ran her seat at the NATO table. We thought repositioning rotational troops and throwing some sanctions on the Russians would be enough to deter further aggression, but the whole time we prepared the Uke’s in case it failed. And yes failing to act then was one of our dumber mistakes and another big show of why Obama was a pretty awful leader in the form of foreign policy, and we all owe Mitt a public apology. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  9. ….. k Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  10. “The arrogance of the officer corps…” Though your general hostility viewed in that particular lens makes more sense. Now you need to know you are amongst friends here. So please show us on the doll where the bad Major touched you. It’ll be ok. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  11. I mean there is in fact a way the Russians can win this, and that’s the west pulling back it’s industrial capacity and economic support for the Ukrainians and making this a simple attritional arithmetic. At that point it’s simply Ukrainian casualties and ammo consumption vs Russian casualties and ammo consumption and last man standing wins. That is still a fight that as bloody as it would go the Russians are more than willing to take as a “win.” This is a society comfortable with casualties to accomplish a means in a way we in the west simply can’t fathom. Same as a 27 million casualty victory sounds insane to us, but they celebrate it in their text books. They also leave out all the ways they were economically propped up to win the great patriotic war by our economic capacity. At one point the Russians were “winning” against the Wehrmacht… in a 6 to 1 exchange in casualties against them. The Western powers absolutely cannot afford to succumb to the isolation and apathy preached by some and back off on the support because it’s the one thing the Russian don’t have in abundance and can’t simply muscle over. The worst thing going on now is the fight over Bakhmut is sapping combat power the Ukrainians could be using come spring to launch more offensives. The Russians know this which is why they are happy to lob bullet sponges in the form of their prison conscripts because what does that cost them compared to its effect of soaking up useful Ukrainian combat power. Even still Crimea is extremely vulnerable right now in the long term because they are slowly being cut off from logistics. The rail road bridge is gone and the Uke’s now have the ability to range into the region with long range precision fires so the Russians can’t mass logistics even if they had trains they could run forward. If Crimea falls into disarray that could be the negotiation token Zelensky is waiting for to call for a negotiated withdrawal of Russian troops. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  12. Well you’re definitively predicting a nuclear war if we continue doing what hasn’t produced one in the year it’s been going on. Or that the Chinese will save them despite seeming to be woefully unaware of all the problems they are facing in the near and far term. And now you want to make this some Os vs Es nonsense because what? I’m a W anyway, so I’d call out stupidity regardless of it’s rank. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  13. That article was from April of last year. Do we need to get you a Calendar for when and what sanctions ramped up and how? Here’s one from January since time appears to be an abstract concept for you https://thehill.com/policy/equilibrium-sustainability/3808910-european-oil-sanctions-costing-russia-172-million-per-day-report-says/amp/ There are plans to push that as high as 500 million a day in losses. But simultaneous we need more supply output from OPEC or we can upend more fragile economies currently on our side. Having a relatively mild winter in Europe doesn’t hurt and coming into the warmer season sees renewed ability by the Euro sector to keep demand lower.
  14. “May be” F it man you’ve been provided no shortage of people and sources demonstrating yes what I’m saying is in fact correct. https://www.npr.org/2022/04/15/1093121762/russias-oil-drilling-plans-may-be-in-jeopardy-without-the-wests-support We know what dollar amounts and total volumes that move where because it’s a global financial market. There isn’t some mystery about intake in Europe vs intake in Asia or the fact that the infrastructure just isn’t there. Again these weren’t some Soviet era state secret industries, Shell and Exxon were the ones doing the work for them. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  15. If you doubled not just the Chinese, but entire Asian consumption of Russian petroleum exports tomorrow it wouldn’t equal half the loss of their European markets. On top of that they don’t have the capacity to move that same scale of oil into China and wouldn’t even if every proposed pipeline was open (only 1 currently runs out of the Siberian fields). They have to make up all the difference of intake largely in sea transport of oil. Goes back to the whole insurance and financial capital problem. No simply “turning to the Chinese” isn’t an economically viable solution, neither are the Chinese capable of supporting them with the same level of technical expertise at the scale they need to keep their industry afloat. China makes tech at volume with largely stolen Intellectual property, not at quality. There is a reason the Siberian oil explorations dropped off a cliff after the 2014 invasion of Crimea, and there wasn’t some state run Chinese energy company just waiting in the wings to swing in and gobble up the excess. And that doesn’t even touch that whole worlds largest importer of food problem, which is an issue if you’re using excess capital to prop up a neighboring power at the same time your industrial labor costs skyrocket and your internal demographics collapse. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  16. See now you’re back to being ignorant or at the very least obtuse. “Who will they turn to….” What the hell is that even supposed to mean. If your assertion is they need the west to give them long term sustainment of their economy then that points to the effectiveness of sanctions as a tool of foreign policy. If you are trying to assert that the Chinese will simply step in and laterally equal western tech and expertise or economic consumption you are grossly ignorant of the reality here. Simply put the Chinese can’t do that. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/11/business/china-russia-ukraine-sanctions-economy.html https://www.cfr.org/in-brief/china-russia-war-ukraine-taiwan-putin-xi Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  17. Most of their Siberian wellheads are maintained with western assistance. https://delano.lu/article/russia-depends-on-western-tech https://cepa.org/article/sanctions-against-russia-are-more-effective-than-skeptics-suggest/ They aren’t being maintained and the Russians are in danger of not having a way to export them with the freeze on insurance and exporting vessels by western nations. (Again results of unified sanctions). They can’t make that difference up with the Chinese which despite volume will never match the peak high end tech that was lost. We can see Russian industrial accidents from space right now. They’ve been increasing in frequency since this war started. They may export energy as a raw product but they import the technical expertise that allowed them to actually pump it out of the ground. The outcome of a mass exodus of that resource is kinda predictable And if you’re China right now you have to weigh the idea of being belligerent and triggering massive unified sanctions when you are simultaneously the worlds largest importer of energy and more importantly food. That’s in addition to seeing how your Russian derived tech systems cope when dealing with western weapons. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  18. Again… as obvious that it is you still haven’t watched the provided information that explains why this phase of the war is actually about preventing WWIII, we don’t have to kill Putin to achieve that. Demonstrating to him (in indirectly China) that wars of conquest will not be accepted by a unified group of western powers is done by what we are currently doing and that we (the west) don’t dither internally to the point of giving into compliant isolationist views that benefit the belligerent party. Putin can always go home and keep his shamble empire. The difference now is he does it without the ability to project or seriously threaten any of his neighbors a large group of which are Article 5 NATO powers which in case of hostilities we would be compelled to act to protect. And likewise Xi now has to look at what happened economically and physically and recalculate if he really thinks his first military foray should be to execute an apposed amphibious operation against an Island armed with all our modern weapons. Sitting around on our asses, sending thoughts and prayers instead of arms and supplies, and watching him take Ukraine will do nothing but embolden a military which has lost the majority of its conventional arms capability. When they come out for the next war (because this isn’t their first) they won’t hesitate to take the nuclear weapons out the second they miscalculate western resolve, engage in an offense into Poland/Latvia/Lithuania/etc, and suddenly find themselves facing a United NATO conventional force they have no ability to stop. That becomes a far more dangerous scenario than the current one where despite our aid to Ukraine, western leaders up to and including the US president can literally land in the middle western capital of a war zone and disrupt/delay the Russian targeting cycle for fear of widening the conflict. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  19. It wasn’t terrible, but it was kinda terribly moderated (in that it really wasn’t dude just kinda kept time). There was a definite disconnect between parties on what was to be the subject of discussion, Crenshaw went in there prepared to defend specific Ukrainian intervention and aid and more broadly foreign policy. The other side wanted to discuss wider foreign intervention and spent very little time discussing Ukraine (or Thailand) outside saying “well it sucks for them but we don’t have an interest there.” Crenshaw did a good effort in explaining that we have serious economic interest not just a moral one towards maintaining security and that “the two big moats” as his opposite put it are not sufficient protection to simply withdraw from the policies we’ve had since the late 1800s. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  20. Great bro, do you own research. Hey somebody let the DIA know we don’t need them anymore. Nothing to learn that can’t be found out on dubious YouTube/Reddit posts of some guy shouting from the cab of a truck. Remember “experts” are the ones that told you gasoline is toxic to humans… better question that now because Covid. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  21. It does when you deliberately ignore or flat out dismiss people with way more knowledge and access to the circles discussing the nuance of what is really going on there (causes/current situation/selective end-states). Again, unclass forum. That dudes about as succinct as you’re gonna get while still staying in the green. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  22. You’ve been handed the material to educate yourself as best can be done in an unclass forum. And you’ve deliberately chosen to ignore that. That by definition makes you ignorant if your sole screaming reason for wanting us to stop doing what we are doing is “Ukraine isn’t NATO” or whatever other talking point you’ve been handed. And you can’t be told the reality is something different. Again, in about 6 minutes you could educate yourself on the reason the current status quo of exchange of support for US/NATO interest far outweighs not doing anything now and just waiting for an actual shooting war with NATO. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  23. You aren’t pro Putin, you’re just ignorant. Quick go find us some more memes from Reddit to tell us how important it is we stop supporting Ukraine in any meaningful fashion or how this isn’t NATO’s concern. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  24. I was in the room when somebody asked Chief Friel (now CW5 but then pilot of the 47 that crash landed down the mountain) if he would have done anything differently. His response was had he known then he wasn’t going to be much use he’d have shut it down on the LZ and put himself and his crews into the fight with the rangers. There’s also a random civilian guy that works the ramp at SOATB on Campbell Army Airfield. Unassuming guy who runs blade tie downs and stuff out in a golf cart. You’d never know he has a silver star for his work pulling ammo from the wrecked aircraft and taking it in belts up the mountain to resupply the ground force gunners from their 240 ammo. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  25. Reddit is a cesspool of all the things wrong with giving anyone access to everyone and granting that person complete anonymity at the same time. Going there is like the social media equivalent walking into a gas station bathroom on some random middle of nowhere off-ramp in Mississippi. Even if it might look ok (and that’s a big if)… deep down you should probably take a shower afterward just to be safe. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
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