Hickam IS overmanned, which makes it funny that they are still getting warm bodies. While Dover, Elmo and Travis are completely undermanned with no relief in sight. HIK leadership wants to play in the war so they have soft commited to keeping two crews at the North EAS, which is a nice bonus for TCM. SRTs are 60 days, so it's not too bad and seems to be more people who want to go than get to so that's always good.
No one really knows what life will be like at Elmo but going guess is much like Hickam--mostly Pacific flying and SRTs of 7 days or less. Like HIK Elmo is getting a weekly Indian Ocean Channel mission--i.e. a 7 day trip that gets you a tax free but you don't even have to wear deserts....
I think the above remark about the joint deployment is a fair assessment, at least it does seem to be conventional wisdom in PACAF. PACAF wants to play in the war too, and if we go we'll empty the Pacific out, meaning all the CONUS units will finally get to fly in the Pacific too.
Addressing some other remarks earlier in the thread--the Ice mission. McChord is keeping it....for now. But it used to be officially "owned" by whatever the HQ element is down at March. PACAF took it over 2005. It seemed odd that TCM would never PCS Ice IPs to HIK, though the strategy is becoming clear. While TCM clearly doesn't want to give the mission up, and I'm sure March wants back in, conventional wisdom (for whatever that's worth) is that Hickam will pick it up. Soon.
Airdrop at Elmo--it's there. They're still working out the percentage. HIK has a 25% requirement, which is mostly idiotic as there are no airborne units in Hawaii (other than very very small SOF types with no riggers) and the drop zones suck and...the list goes on. Elmo is starting out at least at that level, still not sure how far it will go. Army has an entire Airborne Brigade there, and that's a lot of support required. They're currently deployed, but when they get back end of 07 their needs are going to be huge. 8 17s replacing 18 130s there won't quite pay the bill. Hickam is going to get a lot of airdrop practice there too but wouldn't completely surprise me if Elmo becomes the first 100% airdrop unit.